The first time in my three years of monthly net imports of steel
The impact of imports of steel to be careful to deal with observation
This year, trades of iron alloy in the household market, development to a certain span, mostly intensified in the main heading of silicon iron alloy, hot-rolled iron alloy plates, etc. volumes and varieties. Due to the pointed down turn in iron alloy trade items and trades relation development in March this year, the Chinese billet into a snare trade of timber has been the position, this is the first time since three years.
Interviewed straight away and hard metal development skilled population, who broadly chatting considers that, though to adjudicator from the prevailing circumstances, yet not constitute a long-term movements may be a stage, but ought carry on to observe this divergence, the cautious response.
Import "all of a sudden increase in" driving down steel market
According to statistics of applicable agencies display that in February this year, China imported 1.09 million tons of iron alloy, an boost in January than 220,000 tons; trades 310,000 tons iron alloy billet, an boost of 18 million tons of iron alloy trades from the ring than to turn around the down tendency issue of outlook, to boost more than 25%; to March, 1.27 million tons of iron alloy trades, comprising a development in February and 16.5%; 460,000 tons of trades of billet, and in March than increased. Month in March, the total timber spaces have been altered to snare trades, which is in 2006 our homeland became a snare exporter of iron alloy after the first.
According to "My metal and steel" and other data, for example iron alloy mills and Magang who discerned that the iron alloy trade "all of a rapid boost in", mostly intensified in the capacity of hot-rolled plates, billets, and other diversity oriented silicon steel. Volume of hot-rolled plates and billets in the first two months of this year have been a "net import"; oriented silicon iron alloy at the end of February, early March and the end of March have concentrated on the occurrence of the appearance of imports. Shanghai Steel Trade and Chamber of Commerce stakeholders to contemplate the present somewhat low-cost foreign volumes of hot-rolled plates are still "down stream."
According to analysis, a number of international steel-producing countries of the exchange rate changes, the substantial depreciation of the currency relative to the dollar, may be a surge in imports of the driving forces. In addition, China's steel market demand, a sharp shrinkage of market demand in China is relatively good, the international community and the Chinese economy is expected to pick up, take advantage of the use of price competition in the Chinese market share, foreign steel has become an inevitable choice to find a way out.
According to reporters that the investigation, the domestic sales of steel products has been felt in varying degrees the impact of imported products. This effect is not reflected in the amount of principal, but in the overall price fluctuations. Magang Lee Marketing and Baosteel International sales are a reflection of volume of imports of hot-plate and other products in the quantity can not say too much, but the domestic steel prices will "pull down" some time ago volume tons of domestic thermal price of more than 3,100 yuan, import prices have been below 3,000. Oriented silicon steel market is subject to the impact of low-cost imported products, tons of value early in January from 4 million fell drastically from 2.2 million currently, the decline is the largest of all varieties of steel.
Do not have the "long-term trend," the situation
Response to modifications in hard metal deals, Baoshan Iron and Steel Institute of accuse Wu Ying, China Metallurgical Industry Planning Research Institute, vice head of Lee and the recently brought ahead "My steel and steel," Jia liang qun knowledge instrumentalities and other skilled population trust that the advance in hard metal deals is in all likelihood to carry on for some time. However, the prevailing circumstances to ascertain, on the total happening is a stage, does not intend that China's hard metal deal and trade overseas of inflection point.
According to the analysis of stakeholders, there is now a net monthly import, export of steel is only hampered by a relative performance. In February this year, China's steel export volume has been reduced to 39 months to the lowest point in March, although a slight pick-up chain, but still remain low. Relative to exports, as long as the increase in imports, on the vulnerable situation of net imports. However, the evolution of the market trend of global crude steel production in China in addition to nearly 40% of the rate of decline in the long-term maintenance is impossible, as the international short process of the restoration of production, will drive steel prices and global steel prices pick-up, which will gradually produce an environment conducive to exports of domestic steel price space. At the same time, the downward pressure on domestic steel prices will be "top" of the impact of steel imports to live, after all, the volume of imports of steel consumption in the domestic iron and steel plate in the total proportion of less than 3%.
Since the worldwide fiscal critical purpose, the in the household hard metal development in a arduous position. At present, a without bias extensive concurrence that the development is: the annoyances of the steel and hard metal development the most direct justification is that the fiscal critical purpose in a swift contraction of demand as a effect, the store costs of prospecting and the precipitous descent in hard metal costs produced by the forfeit of a large area; to be the market a little warmer, the hard metal visually ruined rehabilitation and goods produced, hard metal costs carry on to get higher, effecting in Steel City over, "bottom." And more intense reason: the structure of overload scope for and serious, in actual the alive of a large number of rearward goods produced capacity; highly-developed attentiveness is small, crude hard metal goods produced enterprises less than the midpoint amount of one million tons, position the apex five hard metal goods produced enterprises of the countrywide total only about 28%; steel ore supplies and the small stage of maritime security, skills to answer to modifications in the market; immature market procedure of hard metal, steel and hard metal yield more than 150,000 sellers, operators are likely to more speculative; yield homogenization serious. The consequence of deals of hard metal market is a "plus or" factors.
Prudent to deal with distinct positions
News interview in the investigation of contacts of industry believes that the structure of China's steel imports, it is necessary to distinguish between different situations, to make a different analysis in order to respond in a targeted manner.
It is appreciated that in the Chinese iron alloy trades to feed processing and processing of imported about 54 per hundred more than those of iron alloy after the culmination of processing of trade items, household utilisation did not in detail, is embodied in the demand for foreign markets; trades for household utilisation accounting for about 45% of steel. Imports of plate iron alloy, are mostly of household output can not make or can not rendezvous the desires but furthermore of high value-added goods, encompassing the width of less than 1 mm cold-rolled sheet with the specifications, the width of 0.3 millimeters less than the benchmark cold-rolled slim & P narrow piece and so on, the trade dependency oriented silicon iron alloy is as high as 51.4%. Products in the household iron alloy commerce has not yet been accomplished the upgrading of the structure, the trade of high value-added goods is inevitable; For the identical fluctuations in the trade of goods, it reflects the interaction between household and foreign markets, the need to make an unquestionable assessment.
Experts accept as factual that for the time being, impeded the trade items of iron alloy, increasing inventories of household assets, the influence of iron alloy trades "Three meet," will absolutely change in the competitiveness of household iron alloy market position, worthy of maintained attention. Strong dependence on the trade of high value-added goods should be modified in the implementation of developed revitalization designing efforts to enhance capability of unaligned discovery, encourage the high-end "import substitution" strategy; for somewhat low-end iron alloy goods, but trades will help moderate household metal and iron alloy commerce restructuring and decrease of metal ore are exactly reliant on, do not have to concern too much about. - 21393
This year, trades of iron alloy in the household market, development to a certain span, mostly intensified in the main heading of silicon iron alloy, hot-rolled iron alloy plates, etc. volumes and varieties. Due to the pointed down turn in iron alloy trade items and trades relation development in March this year, the Chinese billet into a snare trade of timber has been the position, this is the first time since three years.
Interviewed straight away and hard metal development skilled population, who broadly chatting considers that, though to adjudicator from the prevailing circumstances, yet not constitute a long-term movements may be a stage, but ought carry on to observe this divergence, the cautious response.
Import "all of a sudden increase in" driving down steel market
According to statistics of applicable agencies display that in February this year, China imported 1.09 million tons of iron alloy, an boost in January than 220,000 tons; trades 310,000 tons iron alloy billet, an boost of 18 million tons of iron alloy trades from the ring than to turn around the down tendency issue of outlook, to boost more than 25%; to March, 1.27 million tons of iron alloy trades, comprising a development in February and 16.5%; 460,000 tons of trades of billet, and in March than increased. Month in March, the total timber spaces have been altered to snare trades, which is in 2006 our homeland became a snare exporter of iron alloy after the first.
According to "My metal and steel" and other data, for example iron alloy mills and Magang who discerned that the iron alloy trade "all of a rapid boost in", mostly intensified in the capacity of hot-rolled plates, billets, and other diversity oriented silicon steel. Volume of hot-rolled plates and billets in the first two months of this year have been a "net import"; oriented silicon iron alloy at the end of February, early March and the end of March have concentrated on the occurrence of the appearance of imports. Shanghai Steel Trade and Chamber of Commerce stakeholders to contemplate the present somewhat low-cost foreign volumes of hot-rolled plates are still "down stream."
According to analysis, a number of international steel-producing countries of the exchange rate changes, the substantial depreciation of the currency relative to the dollar, may be a surge in imports of the driving forces. In addition, China's steel market demand, a sharp shrinkage of market demand in China is relatively good, the international community and the Chinese economy is expected to pick up, take advantage of the use of price competition in the Chinese market share, foreign steel has become an inevitable choice to find a way out.
According to reporters that the investigation, the domestic sales of steel products has been felt in varying degrees the impact of imported products. This effect is not reflected in the amount of principal, but in the overall price fluctuations. Magang Lee Marketing and Baosteel International sales are a reflection of volume of imports of hot-plate and other products in the quantity can not say too much, but the domestic steel prices will "pull down" some time ago volume tons of domestic thermal price of more than 3,100 yuan, import prices have been below 3,000. Oriented silicon steel market is subject to the impact of low-cost imported products, tons of value early in January from 4 million fell drastically from 2.2 million currently, the decline is the largest of all varieties of steel.
Do not have the "long-term trend," the situation
Response to modifications in hard metal deals, Baoshan Iron and Steel Institute of accuse Wu Ying, China Metallurgical Industry Planning Research Institute, vice head of Lee and the recently brought ahead "My steel and steel," Jia liang qun knowledge instrumentalities and other skilled population trust that the advance in hard metal deals is in all likelihood to carry on for some time. However, the prevailing circumstances to ascertain, on the total happening is a stage, does not intend that China's hard metal deal and trade overseas of inflection point.
According to the analysis of stakeholders, there is now a net monthly import, export of steel is only hampered by a relative performance. In February this year, China's steel export volume has been reduced to 39 months to the lowest point in March, although a slight pick-up chain, but still remain low. Relative to exports, as long as the increase in imports, on the vulnerable situation of net imports. However, the evolution of the market trend of global crude steel production in China in addition to nearly 40% of the rate of decline in the long-term maintenance is impossible, as the international short process of the restoration of production, will drive steel prices and global steel prices pick-up, which will gradually produce an environment conducive to exports of domestic steel price space. At the same time, the downward pressure on domestic steel prices will be "top" of the impact of steel imports to live, after all, the volume of imports of steel consumption in the domestic iron and steel plate in the total proportion of less than 3%.
Since the worldwide fiscal critical purpose, the in the household hard metal development in a arduous position. At present, a without bias extensive concurrence that the development is: the annoyances of the steel and hard metal development the most direct justification is that the fiscal critical purpose in a swift contraction of demand as a effect, the store costs of prospecting and the precipitous descent in hard metal costs produced by the forfeit of a large area; to be the market a little warmer, the hard metal visually ruined rehabilitation and goods produced, hard metal costs carry on to get higher, effecting in Steel City over, "bottom." And more intense reason: the structure of overload scope for and serious, in actual the alive of a large number of rearward goods produced capacity; highly-developed attentiveness is small, crude hard metal goods produced enterprises less than the midpoint amount of one million tons, position the apex five hard metal goods produced enterprises of the countrywide total only about 28%; steel ore supplies and the small stage of maritime security, skills to answer to modifications in the market; immature market procedure of hard metal, steel and hard metal yield more than 150,000 sellers, operators are likely to more speculative; yield homogenization serious. The consequence of deals of hard metal market is a "plus or" factors.
Prudent to deal with distinct positions
News interview in the investigation of contacts of industry believes that the structure of China's steel imports, it is necessary to distinguish between different situations, to make a different analysis in order to respond in a targeted manner.
It is appreciated that in the Chinese iron alloy trades to feed processing and processing of imported about 54 per hundred more than those of iron alloy after the culmination of processing of trade items, household utilisation did not in detail, is embodied in the demand for foreign markets; trades for household utilisation accounting for about 45% of steel. Imports of plate iron alloy, are mostly of household output can not make or can not rendezvous the desires but furthermore of high value-added goods, encompassing the width of less than 1 mm cold-rolled sheet with the specifications, the width of 0.3 millimeters less than the benchmark cold-rolled slim & P narrow piece and so on, the trade dependency oriented silicon iron alloy is as high as 51.4%. Products in the household iron alloy commerce has not yet been accomplished the upgrading of the structure, the trade of high value-added goods is inevitable; For the identical fluctuations in the trade of goods, it reflects the interaction between household and foreign markets, the need to make an unquestionable assessment.
Experts accept as factual that for the time being, impeded the trade items of iron alloy, increasing inventories of household assets, the influence of iron alloy trades "Three meet," will absolutely change in the competitiveness of household iron alloy market position, worthy of maintained attention. Strong dependence on the trade of high value-added goods should be modified in the implementation of developed revitalization designing efforts to enhance capability of unaligned discovery, encourage the high-end "import substitution" strategy; for somewhat low-end iron alloy goods, but trades will help moderate household metal and iron alloy commerce restructuring and decrease of metal ore are exactly reliant on, do not have to concern too much about. - 21393
posted by X - Men @ 2:24 AM
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